阅读理解 The first patient who died on my watch was an older man with a faulty heart. We tried to slow i

这是一篇夹叙夹议。文章通过作者自己的经历论述了，人类在处理信息、不良事件和错误时易受情绪化和非理性思维的影响，会过度思考，此时我们就不能依赖于基于我们所知或所经历的思考，反而要相信直觉。
【12题详解】
推理判断题。由第一段中的Later, whenever I would have a case like that one, I found myself second-guessing my clinical management.(后来，每当我遇到这样的病例时，我都会怀疑自己的临床管理。)和第二段的In a working paper, Emory University researchers found that when doctors delivering a baby have an adverse outcome, they are more likely to switch to a different delivery method with the next patient, often unnecessarily and sometimes with worse results. (在一篇工作论文中，埃默里大学的研究人员发现，当医生接生婴儿时出现不良后果时，他们更有可能对下一个病人改用不同的接生方式，这往往是不必要的，有时甚至会带来更糟糕的结果。)可推断，糟糕的医疗结果会影响医生。A. bad medical outcomes affect doctors(糟糕的医疗结果会影响医生)符合以上说法，故选A项。
【13题详解】
推理判断题。由第三段中的A 2006 study found that if a patient had a bleed after being prescribed warfarin, the physician was about 20% less likely to prescribe subsequent patients the blood thinner that prevents strokes. (2006年的一项研究发现，如果患者在服用华法林后出现出血，医生给后续患者开预防中风的血液稀释剂的可能性要低20%)可知，在血液稀释剂研究中，一旦病人服用华法林后出现出血后，医生们在开某些处方时量就减少了。由此推断，医生变得不那么自信。C. become less confident in writing a prescription(在开处方时没那么自信了)符合以上说法，故选 C项。
【14题详解】
词义猜测题。根据第三段的Because doctors make so many decisions that have serious consequences, the fallout from second-guessing appears especially large for us.可知，因为医生要做出如此多有严重后果的决定，事后猜测的fallout对我们来说似乎尤其严重。根据句意，尤其consequences推测划线部分的意思是“后果”。A. Result(结果)符合以上推测，故选A项。
【15题详解】
推理判断题。由倒数第二段中的When we overthink, we fail to rely on thinking based on what we know or have experienced. Instead, we may inadvertently overanalyze and come to the wrong conclusion. (当我们过度思考时，我们就不能依赖于基于我们所知或所经历的思考。相反，我们可能会无意中过度分析，得出错误的结论。)和最后一段中的Instead of second guessing myself, I trusted my clinical instinct and stayed the course. Every one of those patients survived. You should trust your instinct in your life, too. (我相信自己的临床直觉，坚持到底，而不是事后猜测。所有的病人都活了下来。你也应该相信你的直觉。)可推断，作者认为直觉不一定会导致错误的方向。D. instincts don't necessarily lead to wrong directions(直觉不一定会导致错误的方向)符合以上说法，故选D项。